Posts tagged with the future

Warning: this story is not suitable for children.

Thinking about hate. I’ve felt hatred before. And I’ve been hated. There are people I still have it out for. And there may be people who still have it out for me. I’ve been on someone’s sh*t list. I’ve been happy when someone died. I’ve maybe even been someone’s worst enemy. I still hold certain grudges.

But sometimes if you hold a grudge for long enough, the person you hate has changed. They’ve moved on with their life, past the person they were when they screwed you. Like if you wait 20, 30, 40 years to really prove your parents wrong—I’ll show you! When you’re old and weak and I’m middle-aged and strong, then we’ll see who laughs last!—by the time they get there, they may be so feeble in body or in mind that the thing you’re still mad about, they’ve totally forgotten, or could no longer conceive of doing, or now it’s like you’re going to beat up on a little old man|woman. That victorious retribution you dreamt of…can it ever be found? Likewise with their dreams of a million-dollar adventurous retirement—with their sedentary habits formed, their medical bills rising, and their bodies too feeble to adventure so much anymore—where did that go, either? Something to think about.

(Source: thisamericanlife.org)




"You can keep blaming your parents for your life in your 20’s, but by the time you’re 30 it’s your own fault."

—having a difficult time getting an original source on this quote


This is like unknotting an autoregressive term in a time series. Even if the past only has a hold on the present back to 5 years ago, your upbringing still influences you when you’re 70.

an autoregressive AR(1) time series

Because

  • who you were at 15 influences who you were at 20 ρ¹,
  • which in turn influences who you were at 25 ρ²,
  • and so on until 9 half-decades later there’s a ρ¹¹ echo of your 15-year-old self

whose apprehension at the way she looked (or rather didn’t look) rumbles faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly, faintly through time—the decisions then affected the next decisions which altered the next decisions … on and on to the present.

image

If the initial spike was −1<ρ<1, then the rumble of the thunder diminishes geometrically over time. So a ρ=½ only shivers .00049 eleven knots into the future, and even a ρ=.9 recedes to a .314 by the time it’s so deep past. 

 

Maybe I can spot a corollary to the new parents’ dilemma as well. If the present choices are always framed by the habits formed in the past, then ε perturbations in the baby’s care echo forward, and forward, and forward…and can they really be undone?




  • @isomorphisms: Best not be too happy with your salary. That makes it hard to bargain for more.
  • If the past is any guide to the future, then at some point the past will stop being a good guide to the future. #Malthus #singularity
  • Maybe internet-based economic growth won't come through new products, but from reading different perspectives and NOT embarking on dumb ventures.
  • "As early as 1331 Edward Ⅲ issued letters patent, allowing foreign skilled labour to enter the realm & bypass the usual guild restrictions" --HT davidaedwards.tumblr.com
  • My first investments were index funds. I wanted to make the most neutral decision possible. But there is no neutral investment. #frames
  • Villains seeking immortality. Heroes who embrace death. #annoying_tropes #bioscience
  • Ex astra ad aspera.
  • One thing is that nobody rewards the people who keep their mouth shut when they don't know.
  • It's insane how much difference a few kind words can make, or a few unkind words.
  • NSFW. Think about what that means. It means people get paid to browse the internet, while the unemployed stay home, browsing the Internet.
  • Why can't new web companies get users? Perhaps it's because we all know they won't be around in 2 years. embedit.in
  • How many grammatical English sentences could be said with 10,000 words?
  • Or how would you count for 500 words the number of possible sentences (or bisentences)?
  • @yEvb0: A more sophisticated monkey-typewriter?
  • @isomorphisms: Do people who hate banking/finance/virtual production really want us to do more extraction (copper,gold,coal)?
  • Bronies.
  • ()hedonia
  • @RKHilbertSpace: "over half of young women said they would prefer to be hit by a truck than be fat" -the economist http://econ.st/KUl84z
  • @isomorphisms: Do I retweet myself? Very well, then, I retweet myself.